You would have many good strikes. 2. 10 odds strategy. 05 * $100 = $5. In a way, it sums up betting. Below is a small selection of the dozens of First 4 articles we have, covering First 4 systems, First 4 staking approaches and more. The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. There was scope for finding three at evens or thereabouts, and linking them. THE PARTIAL PLACE PLAN. 1. Each series total outlay is 102 units. 50 represents odds of almost exactly 6-4 ON. Your return on the sole winner at 9/2 would be $18, leaving you with a loss of $6 on the day, compared with only $2 using the 6-Point Plan. 3 per cent on turnover, while level stakes loses 25 per cent! Quite a difference. Track Secrets (Part 3)In fact nearly 10%. If you only wanted to chase . e. Odds-on favourites won around 58 % of their races losing 6. Pick out one city on which to operate. $6 on each, plus a $1 double all up. Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market – self explanatory. . 2. There was scope for finding three at evens or thereabouts, and linking them. Th. They are as follows: HOT FAVOURITE PLAN. Staking Plan SPECIAL FACTOR STAKING PLAN. This methodology theoretically protects your betting bank from staking large amounts on horses that are less likely. Pick out one city on which to operate. The Martingale strategy is more or less a staking plan because you know you will stake a certain amount based on whether you win or lose. The bets, to return $50, using the form of the Dutching approach, would be: Theseo $23 and Viewed $10, a total of $33. 50), and linked all five into 10 win trebles at $10 each for your $100. . I think he was right. A study led by Simon Fraser University researchers finds that mining companies are staking claims on future salmon habitats as glaciers retreat. Odds On Betting Systems Free Horse Racing Tips. Australia Sports Betting has developed a free staking plan Excel spreadsheet which doubles as a betting tracker. At the same meeting in the Coolmore Classic, the equal favourites were Typhoon Tracy and Gallant Tess. 1 we have set 100%. For example, in a flat race at Ffos Las in July a horse named Flutterbee lined up as a 7/4 favourite. Staking Plan Calculator and Betting Tracker v1. THE NUTS AND BOLTS. staking plan is a method that helps you determine how much money you should risk. I think he was right. Kelly Staking is in its simplest form, your edge divided by the fractional price your’re backing at. So, if your bank is $100 your betting unit is $1. Study the two daily double races carefully pick one race in which the favourite seems to have a strong chance. However, if bet one wins at odds of Evens, your new bankroll value is £525 – as such, bet two would increase to a stake of £26. Only place a lay bet if the Greyhound odds are between 6. This bet will payout on first, second and third. Evidence enough of their worth, taking the past as the guide, is that if a favourite fits into this statistical group the percentages indicate it has a strong winning chance. Your Dutch Bets can be split into 3 main types. Same Track Last Start Statistics. 1. 00 of profit let’s say if you had a $1. Last month we began this series which focuses on the 10 systems and staking plans that a group of PPM contributors has voted "the best" of the past 17 years, though they all said they could easily have chosen another 100! Deciding which systems are the tops proved a tougher job than we'd anticipated. If your bank is $100, keep half of it in reserve and begin your betting with $50. Your starting bank, is, say 100 units. Win Level Stakes Loss on turnover: -11. If your bet is $2 the bank should be $100. M. Percentage of Bankroll for Favourites: When laying favourites or horses at lower odds, using a percentage of your bankroll might optimise returns while ensuring risks are manageable. TBM incorporates Race Card data for UK/IRE Horse Racing and UK Greyhound Racing. In a way, it sums up betting. Bet 10 units on Horse A. Plan #3 – Profit target – staking a certain amount on the first selection to win a specific amount, using loss recovery and stopping at a winner or after 5 losses. O. This limits liability to £24 ,which as a proportion of £1000, is very small indeed. Races qualifying: 6414. Nothing fancy. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. WINNING WITH FAVOURITES $99 hard copy and $89 as an E-Book. Well, I have been playing around with a staking plan and today it suddenly looked back at me from the computer screen and said, "My name is Happy Families". One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving. The answer is to adopt some 'novelty' approaches – staking plans that arrange your bets so that if they happen to come off you are going to maximise the returns. Then do your other selections, never picking more than 2 horses per leg. You also know that if this horse loses you will need to stake another £47 on the next bet, a total of over £160 and you only started off betting £1. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. Note that there is NOT an inbuilt Stop Loss. Like with all examples, the bet loses. A staking plan is, essentially, a method to determine how much money should go on each bet. So if your getting 6/4 on an 1/1 shot your edge is 2. By making sure that you constantly risk the same amount of money, you limit the potential hits that you can take while being influenced to look for value when searching for lines that you want to bet on. The fourth bet of 6. The equivalent win. Before looking into progression betting and betting to prices, I will look at some more general staking concepts and explain the. (b) A 3-horse box trifecta each race, total $12. He felt the strength of his betting was a very careful selection of his bets, mostly choosing short-priced favourites, and. You back two horses 'proportionally' (Alan. In a continuing series, we are publishing. A really straight-forward staking plan is to use ‘level staking’. 20) – You have heard the two sayings – practice makes perfect and patience is a virtue, well, this is very true in this case. For instance, if you have just backed a 5-2 winner, you advance two steps. 44 points. This will help you visualize the property boundaries and make sure the stakes are properly aligned. Sometimes, favourites can go two or three meetings without notching a win. TBM takes automated betting to a new level. The latter progression works on the basis that each figure is bet the same number of times it represents (i. The Martingale System is often associated with Roulette but can be applied to any sort of betting. Horse B = 25 / 73. Dutch Betting Calculator Explained. 07% depending on the time. You bet as follows: (a) Three quinellas each race at $4 each, total $24. So, okay, it's no State secret - I use a very, very cautious. Now that's a bold claim but he had the records to prove it. Much depends on you, no matter how good the staking plan might seem. The most amazing thing about many systems and staking plans is probably that they are usually so very simple. For example, you might use a scale of 0. M. Th. Firstly, we'll look at the difference between a bet on a horse at even money. The payouts are big. (I also keep an eye out for 4321W, Bookies Bank v2 and iTSM, they are my second favourites. OK so maybe you can only afford a bankroll of 1000 euro, which means your average unit will be 20. The Back. Finally, one of my own favourites is put to the test, a variation of the well known long standing target staking, which I have named the Small Target Plan. P. Designed to enhance your punting activity & help increase your profits. The HRC Plate, a black-type event for mares at Caulfield in early February, was a very open affair with two equal favourites at $4 but only four runners in the field of 13 at quotes of $10 or less. 80). Sometimes, favourites can go two or three meetings without notching a win. Doing this brings the number of races to 269 with 2,967 runners and the outcome is interesting. A staking plan for low odds shows you how to make the most of your budget for bets that don’t have high returns. Horse at 20/1: 10 divided by 20 = a stake of 50p. Return for a 4-1 double would be $5. The method, as you will probably realise, is designed to sort out true favourites. Register now for FREE. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. The favourite must be 2-1 or shorter in the betting. Example: Three selections at 2/1, 4/1 and 9/2. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. How to quickly examine race cards to identify short-priced favourites that have (a very slim chance of winning) How to adopt a professional approach to betting to avoid the costly mistakes most layers make. As one example of what can happen, let's assume that the favourites win races 4, 5, 6 and 7. Work out the approximate odds of each double. Staking has been covered many times in P. If your bet is $1 then your bank should be $50. Five staking methods put to the test. Bet $7 on the 2/1 chance, and $4 on the 9/2 chance. If, however, each favourite averaged out at, say, $1. Th. In a way, it sums up betting. The only way to prevail is to adopt a smarter look at sports betting – one. THE RULES: 1. Greyhound racing is probably the best system under which a punter in Australia can risk - or rather, invest - his hard earned dough. Whatever staking plan you adopt, be prepared for LONG losing runs. Bet a fraction of your bankroll in proportion to your edge. One well worn strategy is to look for horses that habitually get beaten as short priced favourites. 50. Once you have won, you place your initial bank roll plus your profits from every bet on the next wager. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. 1 day ago · Credit: Chris Sergeant. You can set targets to achieve and, with common sense and some good luck, reach them. 6: Red background: Bankrupt staking plans – These staking plans went bankrupt and their settings are too dangerous to be considered. Avoid odds-on selections. A plan that rocked the nation nearly two years ago was The Dark Horse, yet its heart was so simple that when purchasers started to read what was in front of them they could hardly contain their glee. Total P/L: 12. Join over 100,000 punters already using Practical Punting. Once you deposit funds into your account, choose an appropriate percentage. 5 per cent). No plan or approach can work without winners. It supports the configuration of several features such as: Lay to liability , amount to win, staking plans, and loss pot recovery. Every Back/Lay Staking Plan in TSM is available to use in The Bet Machine. . They are as follows: HOT FAVOURITE PLAN. Arial,Bold"AusSportsBetting. . Click here to read Part 2. In other words, if the favourite is not $3. Sort of like Genesis in a way. Start every series with a $10 wager (or a multiple) on the first bet. A “staircase” method of staking can prove a winning approach if you can take what I call a measured way of leavening out the bets. 0= 1. RETURN: This is the most basic form of dutching, the Bet. This staking plan is employed when backing 2 horses in each race. Each strategy is set of conditions and rules which when satisfied result in bet placement or. My own interest in learning and researching maths, statistics and all things betting meant an Excel Spreadsheet was created. Favourites; Staking Plans; Dealing with Dollars; No data found DEALING WITH DOLLARS By Statsman Why is it that punters who back favourites continue to take a pretty hefty beating at the races? It's worth really taking a close look at favourites, and betting on them. Level Staking . 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. 1 of 1%, your divisor here would be 1000 not 333 which we use for one third of one percent or 250 if you wanted to chase one quarter of one percent. The staking plan works like this: On Monday and Tuesday of each betting week, you look to back a 2/1 shot. Saturday Last Start Statistics. If there is sufficient confidence in the favourite winning, the punter should increase. 200 2 1 1 1 1 1 1. Let's say you had 8 bets at $3 each ($24). For the odds range of less than 2. Staking has been covered many times in P. The method, as you will probably realise, is designed to sort out true favourites. Staking Plans; Favourites; No data found Favourites 2 Favourites. The Punt Master. In this article I want to touch on another most interesting 'Divisor' betting approach. Overall, it is a strategy that is perfect for some punters. Used in conjunction with Gruss Betting Assistant, TBM is compatible with both Betfair and Betdaq Betting Exchange. With this method, your bet should be your edge divided by the odds. My staking plan for horse racing. Now do the following: $16 x 0. . However, using the best staking plan may just be as difficult as getting the right bets. The idea is to stop at a winner after race four and the idea is to win 1% of. 4 for example. Section A A1. Join Now for free. STAKING SECRETS (Part 2) In this, the second of a three-part series, Heale Hartley continues his in-depth look at staking plans and makes some interesting conclusions about a variety of staking plans and concepts. This calls for a total outlay of 26 units over 10 bets. He told me that at Longchamps you could make big profits by backing two horses in the one race, even if both were at 3-1 and under. If you took the $50 as the profit, your square root figure to be added to the next Base Bet would be $7. 00) to win is 3/1 (4. 10 odds or close to that price (i. The first is the aforementioned Partial Place Plan and the second is a plan known as Oscar's Grind, developed by a roulette-playing gambler at the casinos. Books have been and still are the best source of general information, and this applies at least as much in the art of racehorse selection and staking as in any other field. 60 we would get a 3/1 treble up. Simply plug in how much you want to spend on any race or sporting event -- the software does the rest. For example, in a flat race at Ffos Las in July a horse named Flutterbee lined up as a 7/4 favourite. Track Secrets (Part 3) The Divisor is always divided into the Objective to ascertain your bet stake. So named because the target is a mere 10 cents (or a multiple thereof) per race, with safety a paramount consideration. Pick your three best horses in each of the races (or take the pre-post favourites). 4. Two-thirds of the year, most of the time, we all. Happy Families is not just a card game. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. 2 of your £100 bank means a £20 bet. Whether it is Horses, Dogs, or Sports. If your bank is $100, keep half of it in reserve and begin your betting with $50. The First 4 is an exotic bet type that is becoming more and more popular. Assigning unit stakes to bets can be useful as it makes the punter more disciplined and less likely to over bet an event. The favourite must be 2-1 or shorter in the betting. Starters qualifying: 6414. The March 6 family would be the original ancestors for this staking plan. Killer staking plan that reduces losses to a maximum of 2. A Range of staking approaches per article (104) Big Six (4) Caulfiled Cup Melbourne Cup Group Races (10) Doubles (26) Exactas (2) Favourites (2) Favourites (0) Fibonacci Sequence (1) First Four (9) Frame Betting (1)For example, you would have a different approach backing favourites to backing longshots. 7-2 to 5--1: The recommended staking for horses in this price range is 8%. 19 backing and 19 laying staking plans: Automatic markets and selections search across the all sports events: Load multiple UK, AUS, US races, greyhounds and other markets: Betting on unnamed favourites (1-6 Favs) Auto select lowest priced runner in a certain price range: Simulation mode to test your strategies with virtual betsFavourites; Staking Plans; Dealing with Dollars; No data found DEALING WITH DOLLARS By Statsman Why is it that punters who back favourites continue to take a pretty hefty beating at the races? It's worth really taking a close look at favourites, and betting on them. 50. Another way of. 5. Section A A1. Use your form reading skills to decide if a candidate is a strong favourite or not. 5 x your stake using Betfair. Race Distance Change Statistics. Example: Spread 5. 50 winner, that’s six bets, and that’s $6. I think he was right. Less 1/2 win 75% Place 87%. Track Secrets (Part 3)Then we would have the March 13 family, and the March 20 family, the March 27 family and so on into April. 60 we would get a 3/1 treble up. 85%. It provides stake recommendations and calculates your hypothetical profit had you strictly followed each of the four staking plans: level stakes, percentage stakes, square root stakes and the Kelly Criterion. So the 6-Point Plan loses 8. 06 up to 1. One was the 'square root' plan whereby a base bet is established, say $20, and each bet you place is $20 plus the square root of any. Step 1. Now, every time you strike a loser you remain on the same stake as you bet. Another way of tackling this idea of backing two horses at 3-1 and under in the same race is to back each to win the same amount of money. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. 80. You get back $50 for a profit of $17 (+51. and now I've heard of one more plan! Using place bets, a friend told me he had not had a losing year for six years. It was in July 2005 that the idea of The Staking Machine was first born. It's not something they can ever be cured of, but this staking plan at least attempts to put them in a better position to overcome the inherent financial dangers posed by chain betting. Spread5 is a simple -- but very effective -- software that allows you to bet more than one horse (up to 5 with this) per race. I think he was right. Try sticking to favourites in fields of 10 or fewer, and ditch that staking plan. Initially this was a simple spreadsheet used for backtesting various betting. 1. . Background: The Special Factor Plan was devised with two purposes in mind: 1). This staking plan is employed when backing 2 horses in each race. Betting at level stakes with a $2. After months of arduous testing TBM was released in 2020 for public use. I'll be discussing further ideas next month but for now let's think about NOT staking in a systematic manner. Staking plans are used by professional bettors as an effective way to manage their bankroll and ensure they remain level-headed when. With a betting bank, play safe and divide it into two. Now that's a bold claim but he had the records to prove it. There are bigger returns to be gained, of course. 09. 20 on 100 bets. The seventh bet is again $45. This ebook encompasses many of the tried and tested classic staking methods. Mar 26, 2023 #6. JOIN NOW FOR $156/Year. Percent to Bet – Initial Percentage of the Start Stake relative to the start bank. The extra $26 invested for a place profit of $17. In this, the final of a three-part series, Heale Yardley looks at how to grade races according to their predictability so as to offer a means for determining relative bet sizes from one race to another. plans” form, and that it has green color which indicates that you are using individual staking plans. P. How strong are the betting favourites? If they are solid and you have them on your ticket, forget saving. Using a staking plan is one of the best measures to betting that maximizes winnings with fewer losses. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. Take bet 10 above and you can see that a stake of £35 is required to win just £15 and you have already laid out over £85. You get back $50 for a profit of $17 (+51. Place Level Stakes Loss on turnover: - 8. . If your bank is $100, keep half of it in reserve and begin your betting with $50. 75 units, or 25 per cent on turnover. Most commonly, punters that. Considering the same profit target the punter will bet $10 on a horse showing odds of $11 to win his $100. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. 5 units represents a maximum confidence bet and therefore your maximum stake ($50), while 0. 2. 5. THE PARTIAL PLACE PLAN . Greyhound racing is probably the best system under which a punter in Australia can risk - or rather, invest - his hard earned dough. Staking - the crucial element to punting success How you manage your money is just as important as making your selections. Some years ago, we talked in P. The second favourite must be 7-2 or longer in the betting. (3) Step 2. Details of two staking plans are provided for consideration for your place betting activities. You only go forward when you win - and you follow the above progression list to determine how far forward you go. You would have many good strikes. Inefficient staking plans – These staking plans did not improve on level stakes in terms of profit, and so are not considered. A 9/1 (10. Titanbet Bet $25 Get $25 Min. 50 chance and $28 on the $3. 7%. com has evolved into an informational, "encyclopedic" resource for lovers of horse racing. You bet as follows: (a) Three quinellas each race at $4 each, total $24. The 1326 staking plan does not go bankrupt on staking 1% of the bank, but when we increase the staking size of the recommended Target Profit and Percentage Staking plans to 5%, their profit levels eclipse the 1326. Horse C = 20 / 73. Low Risk High Reward Staking Plan Draw No Bet. Indeed, according to one study, backing every favourite that was sent off at odds between even money and 1/5 over the last 25 years or so would have resulted in a loss of just over 5% at starting price. au. Well it really is quite simple and soundly based. 5 units loses and you drop 6. The square root impact for a $5 profit is $2, and this is multiplied 10 times. If they are false or vulnerable and you consciously bet against them to begin with, stand by your guns. I think he was right. In his book Commonsense Betting, which is arguably the finest book written on the betting and the mathematics of horse-racing, US author Dick Mitchell wrote about various staking plans. 40. You bet £10 on Laser Guided not to win at lay odds of 4. If you win, then you must move two numbers down. So if your getting 6/4 on an 1/1 shot your edge is 2. 60 odds, are generally considered short odds betting or low odds. Here’s an example of how you could apply the staking plan: Set a betting bankroll: you’ve set your betting bankroll at $1,000. They think staking plans are a magical technique that can turn a loss into a profit. This staking plan is as follows: Your bank should be 50 times your flat level stake. ) Always commence staking 1 point per bet in each group. Say your bank is £100 and your percentage to wager is 5% then your initial stake is £5. Sadly, they don’t pay enough to cover your outlay, let alone show a profit. (b) A 3-horse box trifecta each race, total $12. 5 – 5, where 1 unit = $10. Therefore, two-thirds of favourites must, by definition, be ‘false’ favourites. Originally, the plan came from America and was specifically designed for betting on the 1st, 2nd and 3rd favourites in each race, but only if. 50. Big Six (2) Caulfiled Cup Melbourne Cup Group Races (5) Doubles (13) Exactas (2) Favourites (2) Fibonacci Sequence (1) First Four (9) Frame Betting (1)The maximum amount to bet is set at 10%. Five placings at even money and you get $232 for $26, meaning a percentage profit of 792. A good, solid staking plan - and there are many of them - can at least put you on the right track. THE SUPER FAVS PLAN. The favourites that WIN come from a particular group of statistics. The same goes for the money returned from race 8-it goes onto the favourites in the first two races at the next meeting. 16) of our free Excel betting tracker. It's all a mat. You get back $50 for a profit of $17 (+51. M. This is the third and final part in our series on the world's greatest staking plans. 0= 1.